The Cost Of A Shot

by Douglas Zare
1 August 2005

Douglas Zare

It is not hard to count shots. At the New England Backgammon Club, some members count the rolls that hit, then ask the chouette, "Which is lower, 11 or 15?" ("I'll tell you after the game.") Of course, the goal is to weigh the total cost of getting hit against the benefits when not hit. It is much less common to estimate how much it costs to get hit or the benefits of not getting hit, but these are vital data for making the right decision. In this article, we will consider the numerical cost of getting hit in a few situations to show the type of numerical analysis that can be done with the help of a bot. We will use Sho Sengoku's equity difference histograms
 

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Article text Copyright © 1999-2009 Douglas Zare and GammonVillage Inc.

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