Celebrating 15 years in backgammon games

Strategic Choices - Market Losers And The Bluff

by Steve Sax
24 January 2001

Steve Sax

Michael Strato: In Position 2, you doubled and again Snowie agrees. At this score, I would have waited to escape my back checker, to make a hit on White or have a more significant lead in the race. What do you foresee will happen here and how do you calculate your odds to know it's time to double?

Pip: 148
Game 5
5 point match

Score 3-3
Pip: 139

6. Green Double
White Take

Cube action equity
3-Ply Money equity: 0.236
0.6% 14.6% 58.8% 41.2% 9.0% 0.3%
1. Double, take 58.84%
2. No double 58.56% (-0.29%)
3. Double, pass 68.50% (+9.66%)
Proper cube action: Double, take

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Celebrating 15 years in backgammon games