Phil Simborg

Backgammon is all about odds. The best play is only the best play when it gives you better odds of winning the game or match than any other play. A double or take is only right if statistically you come out ahead by doubling or taking.

The top players in the game all know this. They all use this approach to winning. Every single one of them. And now, since we have excellent computer programs that can play out a game for us millions of times and assure us which play or decision is statistically right, there is little argument about right and wrong, even amongst the top players who used to have completely different approaches to elements of the game 20 years ago.
 

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