Repeated Shots

by Douglas Zare
2 December 2010

Douglas Zare

Backgammon involves weighing risks against each other. As humans, we don't have to decide how much each position is worth, only which play is best. There is a danger that we will confuse plays we usually make with plays which we are sure are right, or even with plays we are sure are right by a lot. Sometimes a more quantitative approach reveals that the unusual play is not wrong by much. It might not take a large adjustment to make the less common play correct.

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