by Steve Sax
24 July 2012
At the annual Michigan Summer Backgammon Championships held between July 5th and July 8th 2012 I comprised a match record of ten wins and only four losses.
You might think that could result in some dramatic fireworks, but I had to settle for the modest glow of a few simple sparklers as I failed to win enough consecutive matches to cash in either the "Michigan Masters", the "MSC", main flight or consolation.
In this month's article we'll take a look at some interesting positions from my last attempt to light up the sky during a warm southern Michigan summer night.
As I was being eliminated from the consolation of the MSC, they were already calling an eight player draw for the "Firecracker 200", a jackpot tournament held on Saturday evening as a last chance to compete for glory for those eliminated from all other events.
I didn't think I would be able to get in but I inquired tournament staffer Mary Ann Meese and she assured me they would fill a sixteen player bracket.
I entered the second half of the draw and drew Ken Bame from the San Francisco bay area. Ken has become a pretty good player so I knew my task would not be an easy one.
Ken had me on the ropes as he led 7-3 to nine when I arrived at "Sparkler 1". I am down 18 pips and out-boarded 3-2 but since one of those points is his ace-point and his back checkers are not split can I consider doubling here?
Position Sparkler 1:
|on roll, cube action?|
|Analyzed in Rollout|
|Player Winning Chances:||60.17% (G: 20.46% B: 0.88%)|
|Opponent Winning Chances:||39.83% (G: 14.54% B: 1.05%)|
|Player Winning Chances:||60.45% (G: 20.98% B: 0.86%)|
|Opponent Winning Chances:||39.55% (G: 15.83% B: 0.93%)|
|No Double:||+0.700 (-0.071)|
|Best Cube action: Double / Take|
|1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.|
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|Confidence No Double:||± 0.012 (+0.688...+0.712)|
|Confidence Double:||± 0.014 (+0.757...+0.785)|
|Double Decision confidence:||100.0%|
|Take Decision confidence:||100.0%|
|Duration: 9 minutes 00 second|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
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